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Google Econometrics and Unemployment Forecasting

Nikos Askitas () and Klaus Zimmermann ()

No 41, RatSWD Research Notes from German Data Forum (RatSWD)

Abstract: The current economic crisis requires fast information to predict economic behavior early, which is difficult at times of structural changes. This paper suggests an innovative new method of using data on internet activity for that purpose. It demonstrates strong correlations between keyword searches and unemployment rates using monthly German data and exhibits a strong potential for the method used.

Keywords: Google; internet; keyword search; search engine; unemployment; predictions; time-series analysis (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C22 C82 E17 E24 E37 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 20
Date: 2009
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (244)

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Related works:
Journal Article: Google Econometrics and Unemployment Forecasting (2009)
Working Paper: Google Econometrics and Unemployment Forecasting (2009) Downloads
Working Paper: Google Econometrics and Unemployment Forecasting (2009) Downloads
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