Modelling Asymmetries in Unemployment Rate

Alessandra Amendola ()

CELPE Discussion Papers from CELPE - CEnter for Labor and Political Economics, University of Salerno, Italy

Abstract: In this paper we propose the use of a threshold autoregressive conditional heteroakedastic model to examine the dynamic asymmetries in the unemployment rate time series. A simple extension that allows to account for seasonal variation is also considered. The model performance and the effect of different choices of the threshold variable are investigated on the U.S. unemployment rate time series.

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Date: 2001-02
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