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Foreign shock transmission in small open economies

Alejandro Justiniano and Bruce Preston

No 434, Computing in Economics and Finance 2006 from Society for Computational Economics

Abstract: This paper evaluates whether an estimated, structural, small open economy model of the Canadian economy can account for the substantial influence of foreign-sourced disturbances identified in numerous reduced-form studies. The analysis shows that the benchmark model --- and a number of variants which include a range of market imperfections --- imply cross-equation restrictions that are too stringent when confronted with the data, yielding implausible parameter estimates. While appropriate choice of ad hoc disturbances can relax these cross-equation restrictions and therefore capture certain properties of the data --- for instance, the volatility and persistence of the real exchange rate --- and yield plausible parameter estimates, this success is qualified by the model's inability to account for the transmission of foreign disturbances to the domestic economy: less than one percent of the variance of output is explained by foreign shocks

Date: 2006-07-04
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:sce:scecfa:434

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