Economic Projections for Canada and the Provinces 2017-2038: An Update

Andrew Sharpe and Cristina Blanco Iglesias

No 2018-05, CSLS Research Reports from Centre for the Study of Living Standards

Abstract: This report updates CSLS economic projections for Canada and the provinces for the 2017-2038 period. Building on the 2015 CSLS study prepared for the Council of the Federation, the report incorporates new data from 2015, 2016, and 2017. Using a supply-side methodology, projections for real GDP growth are derived from trend labour productivity growth and potential labour supply growth. The report also compares the updated projections for Canada and Ontario with the 2015 projections, and benchmarks CSLS projections against those of other forecasters including Finance Canada and the Parliamentary Budget Office.

Keywords: economic projections; Canada; provinces; real GDP growth; labour productivity; labour supply; long-term forecasts; provincial projections (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2018-08
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