Migration, Forced Displacement and Fertility during Civil War: A Survival Analysis
Philip Verwimp (),
Davide Osti () and
No 17-016, Working Papers CEB from ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles
The civil war in Burundi (1993-2005) caused a massflow of refugees into neighboring countries as well as a large number of internally displaced persons. In fact, half of the population was displaced at least once during the course of the conflict. The aim of this study is to explore to what extent migration during the conflict impacted fertility outcomes. Using retrospective data on birth and residential histories at the mother-year level from a nationally representative survey conducted in August 2002, we examine the impact of war and migration on the probability of first births and on birth spacing. A parametric survival regression model is adopted to predict the hazard of having an additional child on a sample of about 4,500 Burundian women. Our results suggest that the risk of an additional pregnancy is higher in years of forced displacement of the mother, whereas it is lower in the case of residence in the forced displacement site. We do not find a statistically significant effect different from no migration in the years that the women voluntary migrated. Fertility however sharply increases once the women resided in the migration site.
Keywords: fertility; forced displacement; migration; civil war; Burundi (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C25 C41 J13 N37 N47 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 38 p.
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-afr, nep-dem and nep-mig
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2) Track citations by RSS feed
Downloads: (external link)
https://dipot.ulb.ac.be/dspace/bitstream/2013/250953/3/wp17016.pdf Œuvre complète ou partie de l'œuvre (application/pdf)
Working Paper: Migration, Forced Displacement and Fertility during Civil War: A Survival Analysis (2017)
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.
Export reference: BibTeX
RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan)
Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:sol:wpaper:2013/250953
Ordering information: This working paper can be ordered from
http://hdl.handle.ne ... lb.ac.be:2013/250953
Access Statistics for this paper
More papers in Working Papers CEB from ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Benoit Pauwels ().