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Gold, Bitcoin, and Portfolio Diversification: Lessons from the Ukrainian War

Kim Oosterlinck, Ariane Reyns and Ariane Szafarz

No 22-008, Working Papers CEB from ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles

Abstract: How do major disruptive events, such as wars, affect the correlations between gold, Bitcoin, and financial assets? We address this question by estimating a dynamic conditional correlation (DCC) model before and during the 2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine. The results show that, after the outbreak of the war, the correlation between gold and stock markets dropped, confirming the diversification potential of gold during crises. The correlation between Bitcoin and oil declined as well. Meanwhile, the gold/Bitcoin correlation slightly decreased. Overall, our preliminary evidence suggests that gold and Bitcoin act as complements—rather than substitutes—for diversification purposes during international crises.

Keywords: Bitcoin; Gold; Portfolio diversification; 2022 Russian invasion (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E44 F65 G11 G15 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2022-06-29
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ban, nep-cis, nep-ene, nep-fmk, nep-mac, nep-pay, nep-rmg and nep-tra
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

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