Passing on Success? Productivity Outcomes for Quarterbacks Chosen in the 1999-2004 National Football League Player Entry Drafts

Kevin Quinn, Melissa Geier and Anne Berkovitz
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Kevin Quinn: St. Nobert College
Melissa Geier: St. Nobert College
Anne Berkovitz: St. Nobert College

No 711, Working Papers from International Association of Sports Economists, North American Association of Sports Economists

Abstract: Seventy quarterbacks were selected during six NFL drafts held 1999-2004. This paper analyzes information available prior to the draft (college, college passing statistics, NFL Combine data) and draft outcomes (overall number picked and signing bonus). Also analyzed for these players are measures of NFL playing opportunity (games played, games started, pass attempts) and measures of productivity (Pro Bowls made, passer rating, DVOA, and DPAR) for up to the first seven years of each drafted player’s NFL career. We find that more highly-drafted QBs get significantly more opportunity to play in the NFL. However, we find no evidence that more highly-drafted QBs become more productive passers than lower-drafted QBs that see substantial playing time. Furthermore, QBs with more pass attempts in their final year of more highly-ranked college programs exhibit lower NFL passing productivity.

Keywords: Sports; NFL; Draft; Quarterback; Productivity (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: J23 J42 L83 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 34 pages
Date: 2007-06
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

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