A scenario planning approach for disasters on Swiss road network

G. A. Mendes (), K. W. Axhausen, J. S. Andrade, Jr and H. J. Herrmann

Working Papers from ETH Zurich, Chair of Systems Design

Abstract: We study a vehicular traffic scenario on Swiss roads in an emergency situation, calculating how sequentially roads block due to excessive traffic load until global collapse (gridlock) occurs and in this way displays the fragilities of the system. We used a database from Bundesamt f\"ur Raumentwicklung which contains length and maximum allowed speed of all roads in Switzerland. The present work could be interesting for government agencies in planning and managing for emergency logistics for a country or a big city. The model used to generate the flux on the Swiss road network was proposed by Mendes et al. [Physica A391, 362 (2012)]. It is based on the conservation of the number of vehicles and allows for an easy and fast way to follow the formation of traffic jams in large systems. We also analyze the difference between a nonlinear and a linear model and the distribution of fluxes on the Swiss road.

Keywords: Scenario planning; traffic gridlock; emergency logistics; evacuation planning (search for similar items in EconPapers)
References: View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

Published

Downloads: (external link)
ftp://web.sg.ethz.ch/RePEc/stz/wpaper/pdf/ETH-RC-14-009.pdf (application/pdf)
Our link check indicates that this URL is bad, the error code is: 500 Failed to connect to FTP server web.sg.ethz.ch: A connection attempt failed because the connected party did not properly respond after a period of time, or established connection failed because connected host has failed to respond.

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:stz:wpaper:eth-rc-14-009

Access Statistics for this paper

More papers in Working Papers from ETH Zurich, Chair of Systems Design Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Claudio J. Tessone ( this e-mail address is bad, please contact ).