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Gasoline Demand, Pricing Policy and Social Welfare in Iran

Majid Ahmadian, Mona Chitnis and Lester Hunt
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Majid Ahmadian: Faculty of Economics, University of Tehran

No 117, Surrey Energy Economics Centre (SEEC), School of Economics Discussion Papers (SEEDS) from Surrey Energy Economics Centre (SEEC), School of Economics, University of Surrey

Abstract: This study estimates a gasoline demand function for Iran using the structural time series model over the period 1968-2002 and uses it to estimate the change in social welfare for 2003 and 2004 of a higher gasoline price policy. It is found that short and long run demand price elasticities are inelastic, although the response is greater in the long run. Hence, social welfare is estimated to fall because of the higher gasoline price (ceteris paribus). However, allowing all variables in the model to change, social welfare is estimated to increase since the changes in the other variables more than compensate for the negative effects of the policy.

Pages: 32 pages
Date: 2007-02
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cwa
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (18)

Published in OPEC Review, 31(2), 2007, pp. 105-124. (Revised Version with different title)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:sur:seedps:117

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