Working Papers

From Stellenbosch University, Department of Economics
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27/2014: Starting Behind and Staying Behind in South Africa: The case of insurmountable learning deficits in mathematics

Nicholas Spaull and Janeli Kotze

26/2014: Forecasting the South African Inflation Rate: On Asymmetric Loss and Forecast Rationality

Christian Pierdzioch, Monique Reid and Rangan Gupta

25/2014: The impact of teacher characteristics on student performance: An analysis using hierarchical linear modelling

Paula Armstrong

24/2014: On the Directional Accuracy of Inflation Forecasts: Evidence from South African Survey Data

Christian Pierdzioch, Monique Reid and Rangan Gupta

23/2014: Targeting core inflation in emerging market economies

Stan Du Plessis

22/2014: School quality and the performance of disadvantaged learners in South Africa

Marisa Coetzee

21/2014: Inflation Forecasts and Forecaster Herding: Evidence from South African Survey Data

Christian Pierdzioch, Monique Reid and Rangan Gupta

20/2014: Date stamping historical oil price bubbles: 1876 - 2014

Itamar Caspi, Nico Katzke and Rangan Gupta

19/2014: The effectiveness of countercyclical capital requirements and contingent convertible capital: a dual approach to macroeconomic stability

Hylton Hollander

18/2014: Errors in recalling childhood socio-economic status: the role of anchoring and household formation in South Africa

Dieter von Fintel and Dorrit Posel

17/2014: Slave prices and productivity at the Cape of Good Hope from 1700 to 1725: did all settler farmers profit from the trade?

Sophia du Plessis, Ada Jansen and Dieter von Fintel

16/2014: Subverting the standard view of the Cape economy: Robert Ross’s cliometric contribution and the work it inspired

Johan Fourie

15/2014: Credit spread variability in U.S. business cycles: the Great Moderation versus the Great Recession

Hylton Hollander and Guangling Liu

14/2014: Understanding consumption patterns of the established and emerging South African black middle class

Ronelle Burger, Megan Louw, Brigitte Barbara Isabel de Oliveira Pegado and Servaas van der Berg

13/2014: What do we know about primary teachers’ mathematical content knowledge in South Africa? An analysis of SACMEQ 2007

Hamsa Venkat and Nicholas Spaull

12/2014: The Welfare Cost of Sovereign Default and Liquidity Injections

Guangling Liu

11/2014: The middle class in contemporary South Africa: Comparing rival approaches

Ronelle Burger, Cindy Lee Steenekamp, Servaas van der Berg and Asmus Zoch

10/2014: Income Convergence in South Africa: Fact or Measurement Error?

Tobias Lechtenfeld and Asmus Zoch

09/2014: Religion, Religious Diversity and Tourism

Johan Fourie, Jaume Roselló and Maria Santana-Gallego

08/2014: Teacher Wages in South Africa: How Attractive is the Teaching Profession?

Paula Armstrong

07/2014: Teacher incentives in South Africa: a theoretical investigation of the possibilities

Paula Armstrong

06/2014: A new recession-dating algorithm for South Africa

Pieter Laubscher

05/2014: Why pay NGOs to involve the community?

Ronelle Burger, Indraneel Dasgupta and Trudy Owens

04/2014: The effect of schooling on worker productivity: Evidence from a South African industry panel

Rulof Burger and Francis J. Teal

03/2014: Measuring potential output for the South African economy: Embedding information about the financial cycle

Johannes Kemp

02/2014: Wage subsidies and youth employment in South Africa: Evidence from a randomised control trial

James Levinsohn, Neil Rankin, Gareth Roberts and Volker Schöer

01/2014: The Effects of Teacher Strike Activity on Student Learning in South African Primary Schools

Gabrielle Wills

28/2013: Treating schools to a new administration. The impact of South Africa’s 2005 provincial boundary changes on school performance

Martin Gustafsson and Stephen Taylor

27/2013: Compulsory tutorial programmes and performance in undergraduate microeconomics: A regression discontinuity design

Volker Schöer and Debra Shepherd

26/2013: Hunger in the former apartheid homelands: Determinants of converging food security 100 years after the 1913 Land Act

Louw Pienaar and Dieter von Fintel

25/2013: Enhancing the credibility of fiscal forecasts in South Africa: Is a fiscal council the only way?

Estian Calitz, Franz Siebrits and Ian Stuart

24/2013: The accuracy of fiscal projections in South Africa

Estian Calitz, Franz Siebrits and Ian Stuart

23/2013: Comparing the BER’s forecasts

Willem van der Wath

22/2013: A sticky information Phillips curve for South Africa

Monique Reid and Gideon du Rand

21/2013: Estimating the impact of language of instruction in South African primary schools: A fixed effects approach

Stephen Taylor and Marisa Coetzee

20/2013: A question of efficiency: decomposing South African reading test scores using PIRLS 2006

Debra Shepherd

19/2013: The impact of tax incentives to stimulate investment in South Africa

Estian Calitz, Sally Wallace and Le Roux Burrows

18/2013: Estimating the benefits of linking ties in a deeply divided society: considering the relationship between domestic workers and their employers in South Africa

Ronelle Burger, Marisa Coetzee and Carina van der Watt

17/2013: South African Sector Return Correlations: using DCC and ADCC Multivariate GARCH techniques to uncover the underlying dynamics

Nico Katzke

16/2013: The equity price channel in a New-Keynesian DSGE model with financial frictions and banking

Hylton Hollander and Guangling Liu

15/2013: Measuring the option value of education

Rulof Burger and Francis J Teal

14/2013: The transmission of longevity across generations: The case of the settler Cape Colony

Patrizio Piraino, Sean Muller, Jeanne Cilliers and Johan Fourie

13/2013: Vroeë Kaapse en Europese huwelikspatrone

Jeanne Cilliers and Johan Fourie

12/2013: Should inflation targeting be abandoned in favour of nominal income targeting?

Stan Du Plessis and Malan Rietveld

11/2013: The first five years project – a cohort study of students awarded NSFAS loans in the first five years 2000-2004

Pierre de Villiers, Chris van Wyk and Servaas van der Berg

10/2013: Why define markets in competition cases?

Willem Boshoff

09/2013: The democratisation of innovation: Managing technological innovation as if people matter

Philip Spies

08/2013: Life chances and class: Estimating inequality of opportunity in South Africa for various life stages

Asmus Zoch

07/2013: Fiscal sustainability in South Africa: Will history repeat itself?

Estian Calitz, Stan Du Plessis and Franz Siebrits

06/2013: Literacy at South African Mission Stations

Johan Fourie, Robert Ross and Russel Viljoen