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Contagion and banking crisis — internatonal evidence for 2007-2009

Mardi Dungey () and Dinesh Gajurel ()

No 2014-10, Working Papers from University of Tasmania, Tasmanian School of Business and Economics

Abstract: Policy makers aim to avoid banking crises, and although they can to some extent control domestic conditions, internationally transmitted crises are difficult to tackle. This paper identifies international contagion in banking during the 2007- 2009 crisis for 50 economies. We identify three channels of contagion - systematic, idiosyncratic and volatility - and find evidence for these in 41 countries. Banking crises are overwhelmingly associated with the presence of both systematic and idiosyncratic contagion. The results reveal that crisis shocks transmitted from a foreign jurisdiction via idiosyncratic contagion increase the likelihood of a systemic crisis in the domestic banking system by almost 27 percent, whereas increased exposure via systematic contagion does not necessarily destabilize the domestic banking system. Thus while policy makers and regulatory authorities are rightly concerned with the systematic transmission of banking crises, reducing the potential for idiosyncratic contagion can importantly reduce the consequences for the domestic economy.

Keywords: Global financial crisis; financial contagion; banking institutions; asset pricing; GARCH (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F30 G21 E58 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-mac
Date: 2014-09-09
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Published by the University of Tasmania. Discussion paper 2014-10

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Journal Article: Contagion and banking crisis – International evidence for 2007–2009 (2015) Downloads
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