Ic ve Dis Talebe Iliskin Alternatif Gostergeler: Yurt Ici ve Yurt Disi Satis Endeksleri

Huseyin Cagri Akkoyun, İhsan Bozok and Bahar Sen Dogan

CBT Research Notes in Economics from Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey

Abstract: [TR] Kuresel kriz sonrasi donemde, dis pazarlardaki yavas toparlanmaya paralel olarak ihracat zayif seyretmis, ithalat ise yurt ici talebin guclu toparlanmasi ile birlikte yuksek oranli artislar kaydetmistir. Boylelikle, ayrisan ic ve dis talebin toparlanma hizlari cari acigin kaygi verici duzeylere ulasmasina katki saglamistir. Bu durum, ic ve dis talep gelismelerinin daha yakindan takip edilmesini gerekli kilmistir. Dis talebe iliskin aylik ve gunluk frekansta nicel gostergeler mevcutken, yurt ici talebe iliskin yuksek frekansli nicel veri bulunmamaktadir. Gerek yurt ici talebe iliskin yuksek frekansli bir veri olusturmak gerekse yurt disi talebe iliskin alternatif bir gosterge turetmek amaciyla ciro endeksleri kullanilarak yurt ici ve yurt disi satis endeksleri olusturulmustur. [EN] In the period following the global crisis, exports have shown a poor performance due to slow recovery in foreign markets, whereas imports have recorded high increases with the strong recovery of domestic demand. Accordingly, differentiated growth rate of domestic and foreign demand has contributed current account to reach an alarming level. This situation necessitates a closer monitoring of indicators related with domestic and foreign demand. While regarding to foreign demand monthly and daily quantitative data exist, regarding to domestic demand high frequency hard data does not exist. In order to derive both a high-frequency indicator for domestic demand and an alternative indicator for foreign demand, domestic and foreign sales indices are formed by using the turnover indices.

Date: 2011
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