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Iktisadi Faaliyet Analizi: Oncu Gostergeler ve Ekonomi Saati Yaklasimi

Aslihan Atabek Demi̇rhan () and Evren Erdoğan Coşar

CBT Research Notes in Economics from Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey

Abstract: [TR] Bu calismanin amaci Turkiye ekonomisi icin olusturulan es zamanli ve oncu gosterge endekslerinin, ekonomi saati yaklasimi ile birlestirilmesi ve bu yontemle iktisadi faaliyetin mevcut durumuna ve yakin gelecekte izleyebilecegi olasi seyre iliskin bilgi cikarilmasidir. Endeksler, 2011 yili baslarindan itibaren iktisadi faaliyetin yavaslama egiliminde oldugunu gostermektedir. [EN] The aim of this study is to construct coincident and leading composite indices for Turkey and to assess them in a business clock framework to extract information on the current and future state of economic activity. Indices point to a slowdown in the activity since early 2011.

Date: 2012
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