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Turkiye’nin Ihracat Artisinda Yayilma Marjinin Rolu

Altan Aldan and Olcay Çulha

CBT Research Notes in Economics from Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey

Abstract: [TR] Bu notta, 1993-2011 doneminde Turkiye’nin imalat sanayi ihracatinin gelisiminde, yeni urun ve/veya pazarlarin katkisi incelenmektedir. Bu amacla Kehoe ve Ruhl (2009) yontemi ile yayilma marji (extensive margin) hesaplanmistir. Genel olarak ihracat artisinda yayilma marjinin onemli olduguna isaret eden bulgular elde edilmistir. En onemli ihracat pazarlarindan MENA ulkelerine yapilan ihracatta yayilma, daha cok yeni ulkelere acilma seklinde olurken, AB ulkelerine yapilan ihracatta yeni urunlerin katkisi artmistir. 2002 sonrasinda yayilma marjinin etkisi yukselirken, 2008 yilindaki kuresel finansal kriz sonrasi donemde yayilma marjinin katkisinda azalma gozlenmistir. [EN] In this note, we explore the effects of new products and/or countries on Turkish manufacturing exports in 1993-2011 period. With this aim the extensive margins are calculated by using Kehoe and Ruhl (2009) methodology. In general, findings imply significant effect of the extensive margin on export growth. New countries play important role in the export growth to MENA whereas new products gained importance in the exports to the EU market. Contribution of the extensive margin seems to be increased during the period beginning from 2002, while it has slowed down after the global financial crisis in 2008.

Date: 2012
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