Butce Dengesi ve Finansmani: Neyi Nereden Takip Etmeli?

Defne Mutluer Kurul and Erdal Yılmaz ()

CBT Research Notes in Economics from Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey

Abstract: [TR] Butce gerceklesmelerinin gerek ekonomik aktivite gerekse para politikasi acisindan izlenmesi ve saglikli degerlendirilmesi politika yapicilari ve konuyla ilgili diger ekonomik birimler acisindan onemli olmaktadir. Farkli zamanlarda yayimlanan merkezi yonetim butce buyukluklerine iliskin istatistikler arasinda, kapsam, muhasebelestirme yontemi ve zamanlamadan dolayi farkliliklar olusabilmektedir. Bu calismanin amaci, bu farkliliklari ortaya koymak ve butce buyukluklerinin hangisinin ne amacla takip edilmesi gerektigine dair paylasimda bulunarak maliye politikasina iliskin degerlendirmelerin daha saglikli bicimde yapilabilmesine katki sunmaktir. Calismada incelenen veri setlerinin her birinin bilgi icerigi farklilik gostermektedir; oyle ki maliye politikasi ve ekonominin genel gidisatinin degerlendirilmesine yardimci olmasi icin Merkezi Yonetim Konsolide Butce Istatistikleri’nin izlenmesi yol gosterici olurken, likidite ve borc yonetimi acisindan ise Hazine Nakit Dengesi’nin takip edilmesinin uygun olacagi ortaya konulmustur. Ayrica, Merkezi Yonetim Butce Dengesi ve Finansmani’ndan elde edilen nakit tampon (kasa/banka) verisinin, hazine borclanma stratejisi ile maliye politikasi uygulamasinin sonuclarinin izlenmesi icin faydali olacagi dusunulmektedir. [EN] With regards to economic activity and monetary policy, monitoring the impact of budget performance is an important issue for policy makers and economic agents. Statistical data may vary due to the difference in coverage, the variation of accounting treatment or timingof the data release. The aim of thisstudy is to revealthe differences between these datasets and to propose ways in which each dataset could be used to make reliable assessment on fiscal policy.Each of the datasets on budget figures has different information content; in fact Central Government Consolidated Financial Statistics should be monitoredin order to evaluate fiscal policy and economic activitywhereas analyzing Treasury Cash Realizationsis appropriate in order to evaluate debt and liquidity management. Moreover, the cash buffer series obtained from the Central Government Budget Balance and Financing provides valuable information regarding the government debt management strategy as well as the consequences of the fiscal policy implementations.

Date: 2018
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:tcb:econot:1809

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