Hizmet Sektorunde Uretici ve Tuketici Fiyatlarinin Iliskisi

Aysu Celgin and Orhun Özel

CBT Research Notes in Economics from Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey

Abstract: [TR] Hizmet grubunda tuketici fiyatlari, Tuketici Fiyat Endeksi (TUFE) kapsaminda, uretici fiyatlari ise Hizmet Uretici Fiyat Endeksi (H-UFE) kapsaminda yayimlanmaktadir. Uretici fiyat artislari tuketici fiyatlarina birebir yansimamakta, vergi etkileri, tanim ve kapsam farkliliklari, alt kalemler arasindaki agirlik farklari ve arz zincirindeki konum gibi unsurlarla enflasyon oranlari birbirinden farklilasabilmektedir. Hizmet grubundaki uretici ve tuketici fiyat endekslerini birbiriyle daha saglikli kiyaslayabilmek icin olasi ayrisma kaynaklari gozetilerek Hizmet TUFE kapsam ve agirliklari ile uyumlu bir uretici fiyat endeksi hesaplanmistir. Elde edilen bulgular olusturulan endeksin hizmet tuketici fiyatlari icin oncu gosterge olabilecegine isaret etmektedir. [EN] In the services group, consumer prices are released under the Consumer Price Index (CPI), while producer prices are published under the Services Producer Price Index (S-PPI). Producer price increases are not directly reflected in consumer prices, and inflation rates may differ from each other due to factors such as tax effects, differences in definition and scope, differences in weight between sub-items, and position in the supply chain. In order to compare the indices more accurately, this study calculates a Services PPI compatible with the scope and weights of the Services CPI, taking into account possible sources of divergence. The findings indicate that the constructed index may serve as a leading indicator for the consumer prices of services.

Date: 2025
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