EconPapers    
Economics at your fingertips  
 

Pricing of Non-ferrous Metals Futures on the London Metal Exchange

Clinton Watkins and Michael McAleer

No CIRJE-F-213, CIRJE F-Series from CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo

Abstract: The London Metal Exchange (LME) is the most important centre for spot and futures trading in the main industrially-used non-ferrous metals. In this paper, data on 3-month futures contracts for aluminium, aluminium alloy, copper, lead, nickel, tin and zinc are analysed. The risk premium hypothesis and the cost-of-carry model are the standard theoretical models for pricing futures contracts, but these two models have rarely been estimated within a unified framework for metals futures. Single equation versions of the risk premium hypothesis and the cost-of-carry model are nested within a more general model. If the spot price, futures price, interest rate and stock level variables contain stochastic trends, long run versions of the general model can be estimated within a cointegration framework. Various long run pricing models are estimated using daily LME price data for the period 1 February 1986 to 30 September 1998. Likelihood ratio tests are used to test restrictions on the general model to examine the validity of alternative nested specifications.

Pages: 52 pages
Date: 2003-03
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-eec and nep-rmg
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2)

Downloads: (external link)
http://www.cirje.e.u-tokyo.ac.jp/research/dp/2003/2003cf213.pdf (application/pdf)

Related works:
Journal Article: Pricing of non-ferrous metals futures on the London Metal Exchange (2006) Downloads
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:tky:fseres:2003cf213

Access Statistics for this paper

More papers in CIRJE F-Series from CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by CIRJE administrative office ().

 
Page updated 2025-03-22
Handle: RePEc:tky:fseres:2003cf213