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A Fundamental Theory of Exchange Rates and Direct Currency Trades

Allen Head () and Shouyong Shi

Working Papers from University of Toronto, Department of Economics

Abstract: In this paper we construct a two-country search model to determine the nominal exchange rate between two fiat monies. Our model allows agents to use any currency to trade for goods in all countries. However, search frictions restrict agents opportunities for instantaneous arbitrage, and hence make the nominal exchange rate determinate. The nominal exchange rate depends on the two countries economic fundamentals, including the stocks and growth rates of the two monies. Direct exchanges between currencies are essential and they imply a nominal exchange rate that is different from the relative price between the two currencies in the goods markets. There are persistent violations of the law of one price and purchasing power parity in equilibrium, despite the fact that prices are perfectly flexible and all goods are tradeable between countries. Nominal and real exchange rates can move together in the steady state in response to money growth shocks.

Keywords: Exchange Rates; Search; Money; Currency Trade. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C78 F31 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 49 pages
Date: 2002-12-15
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-dge, nep-fin and nep-ifn
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (4)

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Journal Article: A fundamental theory of exchange rates and direct currency trades (2003) Downloads
Working Paper: A Fundamental Theory Of Exchange Rates And Direct Currency Trades (2000)
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