Exports, Imports and Economic Growth in India

Laszlo Konya () and Jai Pal Singh
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Jai Pal Singh: Department of Business Management CCS Haryana Agricultural University, Hisar, India

No 2006.06, Working Papers from School of Economics, La Trobe University

Abstract: With the advent of WTO, India entered into the era of trade reforms in 1991 and is moving gradually towards an open economy. It is widely believed that export and import growth is crucial in providing the impetus for economic growth in developing countries and imports provide the important 'virtuous' link between trade and output growth. Therefore, our aim, here, is to address the export/import-led growth and growth-driven export/import hypotheses for India. In spite of some ambiguity, the results clearly show that exports and imports Granger-cause GDP, both individually and jointly, lending support to the export/import led growth hypotheses. There is also some indication of GDP and exports jointly Granger- causing imports, and GDP and imports jointly Granger-causing exports, but the growth driven export/import hypotheses seem implausible. A possible reason for the results is the favourable trade environment of India.

Keywords: Export; Import; Economic Growth; India; Unit root; Co-integration; Causality (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C22 C32 F14 F43 O11 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 25 pages
Date: 2006-12
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (4)

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Working Paper: Exports, Imports and Economic Growth in India (2006)
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