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Analysing local-level rental markets based on the German Mikrozensus

Charlotte Articus, Hanna Brenzel and Ralf Münnich

No 2020-09, Research Papers in Economics from University of Trier, Department of Economics

Abstract: Recent developments on German real estate markets show a striking increase of rents, especially in larger towns. This development is, however, not homogeneous: The market dynamics vary between different parts of cities and prices develop highly heterogeneously. Therefore, small-scale results are of interest. The German Mikrocensus, Germany’s largest household survey, routinely provides information on housing, including rental prices. Since 2018 results are geo-coded, setting the prerequisite for obtaining results at a local level. This specifically strong regional disaggregation obviously results in small sample sizes for the entities of interest. While standard design-based estimators under these condition result in large standard errors, small are estimation techniques may be a solution to nevertheless obtain reliable estimates. Therefore, the present paper explores the opportunity of obtaining very small-scale estimates of average rental prices based on the Mikrozensus employing small area estimation models. The study focusses on the City of Cologne, which provides a broad range of indicators that can be employed as auxiliary information in the models.

Pages: 15 pages
Date: 2020
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ure
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

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