Reconciling Hayek's and Keynes' Views of Recessions

Paul Beaudry, Dana Galizia and Franck Portier ()

No 16-735, TSE Working Papers from Toulouse School of Economics (TSE)

Abstract: Recessions often happen after periods of rapid accumulation of houses, consumer durables and business capital. This observation has led some economists, most notably Friedrich Hayek, to conclude that recessions often reflect periods of needed liquidation resulting from past over-investment. According to the main proponents of this view, government spending or any other form of aggregate demand policy should not be used to mitigate such a liquidation process, as doing so would simply result in a needed adjustment being postponed. In contrast, ever since the work of Keynes, many economists have viewed recessions as periods of deficient demand that should be countered by activist fiscal policy. In this paper we reexamine the liquidation perspective of recessions in a setup where prices are flexible but where not all trades are coordinated by centralized markets. The model illustrates why liquidations likely cause recessions characterized by deficient aggregate demand and accordingly suggests that Keynes' and Hayek's views of recessions may be closely linked. In our framework, interventions aimed at stimulating aggregate demand face a trade-off whereby current stimulus postpones the adjustment process and therefore prolongs the recessions, but where some stimulative policies may nevertheless remain desirable.

Keywords: Business Cycle; Unemployment; Liquidations (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E32 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2016-11
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-his and nep-mac
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations:

Downloads: (external link)
https://www.tse-fr.eu/sites/default/files/TSE/docu ... /2016/wp_tse_735.pdf Full text (application/pdf)

Related works:
Journal Article: Reconciling Hayek’s and Keynes’ Views of Recessions (2018)
Working Paper: Reconciling Hayek's and Keynes' views of recessions (2015)
Working Paper: Reconciling Hayek's and Keynes' views of recessions (2014)
Working Paper: Reconciling Hayek's and Keynes Views of Recessions (2014)
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:tse:wpaper:31200

Access Statistics for this paper

More papers in TSE Working Papers from Toulouse School of Economics (TSE) Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by ().