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When is Nonfundamentalness in SVARs A Real Problem?

Paul Beaudry (), Patrick Fève, Alain Guay () and Franck Portier ()

No 16-738, TSE Working Papers from Toulouse School of Economics (TSE)

Abstract: Identification of structural shocks can be subject to nonfundamentalness, as the econometrician may have an information set smaller than the economic agents´i one. How serious is that problem from a quantitative point of view? In this work we propose a simple diagnosis statistics for the quantitative importance of nonfundamentalness in structural VARs. The diagnosis is of interest as nonfundamentalness is not an either/or question, but is a quantitative issue which can be more or less severe. Using our preferred strategy for identifying news shocks, we find that nonfundamentalness is quantitatively unimportant and that news shocks continue to generate significant business cycle type fluctuations when adjust the estimating procedure to take into account the potential nonfundamentalness issue.

Keywords: Non-Fundamentalness; Business Cycles; SVARs; News (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C32 E32 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ecm, nep-ets and nep-mac
Date: 2016-11
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Journal Article: When is Nonfundamentalness in SVARs a Real Problem? (2019) Downloads
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