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The Dual Political Legislation Cycle in France

Fabio Padovano () and Nicolas Gavoille ()

Economics Working Paper from Condorcet Center for political Economy at CREM-CNRS from Condorcet Center for political Economy

Abstract: This paper tests the Political Legislation Cycle theory on French data. The theory predicts a peak of legislative production in the pre-electoral period, when the legislator increases voters’ utility in order to be reelected. France is unique in that two elections set up the pace of political life: the presidential and the legislative elections which potentially generate a dual legislation cycle. A hierarchical Poisson model is implemented on a sample containing the monthly legislative production from January 1959 to March 2012. We found that 1) a dual cycle of the production of laws emerges, following both the presidential and the legislative elections, 2) since the constitutional reform of 2000, which synchronized the two elections, the magnitude of the cycle increased, and 3) the President of the Republic does not have an impact on the legislative production, but relies on the government.

Keywords: Political Legislation Cycle; Economic theory of legislation; Political Budget Cycle; Hierarchical Poisson regression (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D72 C49 H61 H62 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-pol
Date: 2013-01, Revised 2014-06
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (4) Track citations by RSS feed

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Related works:
Working Paper: Legislative Cycles in Semipresidential Systems (2016) Downloads
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:tut:cccrwp:2013-02-ccr

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CREM (UMR CNRS 6211) - Faculty of Economics, 7 place Hoche, 35065 Rennes Cedex - France

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