Asset-market models of exchange-rate determination: Basic models, empirical evidence and extensions
Simon Sosvilla-Rivero
No 91-24, Documentos de trabajo de la Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales from Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales
Abstract:
In this paper we have reviewed the theoretical models associated with those approaches, focusing on the implied reduced-form equations. We have also examined the empirical evidence on these models for the recent floating period, finding that econometric evidence on these models is mixed and inconclusive: they seem to work, to sorne extent, for the first period of the recent floating experience (i. e., 1975-1978), but they do not work so well in the 1980s. In addition, studies by Meese and Rogoff (¡983a, b) have Indicated that the explanatory power of econometric exchange rate models has been extremely poor. They conclude that models of exchange rates could not perform better than a naive random-walk model in the post sample forecasting tests, even when the explanatory variables used were the reallzed values during the post sample period.
Keywords: Asset-market models; Exchange-rate. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 107 pages
Date: 1991
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations:
Downloads: (external link)
https://eprints.ucm.es/id/eprint/26249/1/9124.pdf (application/pdf)
Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.
Export reference: BibTeX
RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan)
HTML/Text
Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ucm:doctra:91-24
Ordering information: This working paper can be ordered from
Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales. Campus de Somosaguas, 28223 - POZUELO DE ALARCÓN (MADRID)
https://economicasye ... /working-papers-ccee
Access Statistics for this paper
More papers in Documentos de trabajo de la Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales from Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Águeda González Abad ().