Statistical Modelling of Recent Changes in Extreme Rainfall in Taiwan

Lan-Fen Chu, Michael McAleer and Szu-Hua Wang
Additional contact information
Lan-Fen Chu: National Science and Technology Center for Disaster Taiwan
Szu-Hua Wang: Department of Urban Affairs and Environmental Planning Chinese Cultural University Taiwan.

No 2012-29, Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE from Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico

Abstract: This paper has two primary purposes. First, we fit the annual maximum daily rainfall data for 6 rainfall stations, both with stationary and non-stationary generalized extreme value (GEV) distributions for the periods 1911-2010 and 1960-2010 in Taiwan, and detect the changes between the two phases for extreme rainfall. The non-stationary model means that the location parameter in the GEV distribution is a linear function of time to detect temporal trends in maximum rainfall. Second, we compute the future behavior of stationary models for the return levels of 10, 20, 50 and 100-years based on the period 1960-2010. In addition, the 95% confidence intervals of the return levels are provided. This is the first investigation to use generalized extreme value distributions to model extreme rainfall in Taiwan.

Keywords: Generalized extreme value; Extreme rainfall; Return level; Statistical modelling. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: Q51 Q54 Q57 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 12 pages
Date: 2012
Note: For financial support, the first and third authors are most grateful to the Taiwan Climate Change Projection and Information Platform Project (NSC 100-2621-M-492-001), and the second author wishes to acknowledge the Australian Research Council, National Science Council, Taiwan, and the Japan Society for the Promotion of Science.
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations:

Downloads: (external link)
https://eprints.ucm.es/id/eprint/17573/1/1229.pdf (application/pdf)

Related works:
Working Paper: Statistical Modeling of Recent Changes in Extreme Rainfall in Taiwan (2012)
Working Paper: Statistical Modelling of Recent Changes in Extreme Rainfall in Taiwan (2012)
Working Paper: Statistical Modelling of Recent Changes in Extreme Rainfall in Taiwan (2012)
Working Paper: Statistical Modelling of Recent Changes in Extreme Rainfall in Taiwan (2012)
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ucm:doicae:1229

Ordering information: This working paper can be ordered from
Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales. Pabellón prefabricado, 1ª Planta, ala norte. Campus de Somosaguas, 28223 - POZUELO DE ALARCÓN (MADRID)
https://www.ucm.es/f ... -de-trabajo-del-icae

Access Statistics for this paper

More papers in Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE from Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Águeda González Abad ().