Modelling the Effects of Oil Prices on Global Fertilizer Prices and Volatility

Ping-Yu Chen, Chia-Lin Chang (), Chi-Chung Chen and Michael McAleer
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Ping-Yu Chen: Department of Applied Economics, National Chung Hsing University, Taiwan
Chi-Chung Chen: Department of Applied Economics, National Chung Hsing University, Taiwan

No 2013-06, Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE from Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico

Abstract: The main purpose of this paper is to evaluate the effect of crude oil price on global fertilizer prices in both the mean and volatility. The endogenous structural breakpoint unit root test, ARDL model, and alternative volatility models, including GARCH, EGARCH, and GJR models, are used to investigate the relationship between crude oil price and six global fertilizer prices. The empirical results from ARDL show that most fertilizer prices are significantly affected by the crude oil price while the volatility of global fertilizer prices and crude oil price from March to December 2008 are higher than in other periods.

Keywords: Fertilizer Price; Oil Price; Volatility. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C22 C58 Q14 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 36 pages
Date: 2013, Revised 2013-01
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ene
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https://eprints.ucm.es/id/eprint/18070/1/1306.pdf (application/pdf)

Related works:
Working Paper: Modeling the Effects of Oil Prices on Global Fertilizer Prices and Volatility (2013)
Working Paper: Modelling the Effects of Oil Prices on Global Fertilizer Prices and Volatility (2013)
Working Paper: Modelling the Effects of Oil Prices on Global Fertilizer Prices and Volatility (2013)
Working Paper: Modelling the Effects of Oil Prices on Global Fertilizer Prices and Volatility (2013)
Journal Article: Modelling the Effects of Oil Prices on Global Fertilizer Prices and Volatility (2012)
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