Debating the Little Ice Age

Morgan Kelly and Cormac Ó Gráda

No 201406, Working Papers from School of Economics, University College Dublin

Abstract: This paper replies to commentaries by Sam White and by Ulf Büntgen and Lena Hellmann on our 'The Waning of the Little Ice Age: Climate Change in Early Modern Europe'. White and Büntgen/Hellmann seek to prove that Europe experienced the kind of sustained falls in temperature between the fifteenth and nineteenth centuries that can justify the notion of a Little Ice Age. Neither of them adequately addresses the cogency of the anecdotal or statistical evidence presented in our article, especially with regard to the spurious peaks and troughs created by the smoothing of temperature series--the so-called Slutsky Effect.

Keywords: Little ice age; Climate change; Economic history (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2014-03
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