Working Papers

From University of California at Riverside, Department of Economics
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201436: Multivariate Autocontours for Specification Testing in Multivariate GARCH Models

Gloria Gonzalez-Rivera and Emre Yoldas

201435: A Predictive Model for HIV-1 Co-receptor Selectivity

Gloria Gonzalez-Rivera, Chris Kieslich, David Shin, Aliana Lopez de Victoria and Dimitrios Morikis

201434: An Impact Analysis of Tribal Government Gaming in California

Gloria Gonzalez-Rivera, Anil Deolalikar, Martin Johnson, Mindy Marks and Joel Martin

201433: Smoothing Methods for Histogram-valued Time Series. An Application to Value-at-Risk

Gloria Gonzalez-Rivera, Javier Arroyo, Carlos Maté and A. Munoz San Roque

201432: Forecasting for Economics and Business

Gloria Gonzalez-Rivera

201431: Generalized Autocontours: Evaluation of Multivariate Density Models

Gloria Gonzalez-Rivera and Yingying Sun

201430: Predicting Rare Events: Evaluating Systemic and Idiosyncratic Risk (editorial)

Gloria Gonzalez-Rivera

201429: Interval-valued Time Series: Model Estimation based on Order Statistics

Gloria Gonzalez-Rivera and Wei Lin

201428: Density Forecast Evaluation in Unstable Environments

Gloria Gonzalez-Rivera and Yingying Sun

201427: Patient Preferences, Intergenerational Equity, and the Precautionary Principle

Urmee Khan and Maxwell Stinchcombe

201426: Information Processing in Prediction Markets: An Empirical Investigation

Urmee Khan and Robert Lieli

201425: The Virtues of Hesitation

Urmee Khan and Maxwell Stinchcombe

201424: Progressive Taxation, Endogenous Growth, and Macroeconomic (In)stability

Jang-Ting Guo and Shu-Hua Chen

201423: Money-Income Granger-Causality in Quantiles

Tae Hwy Lee and Weiping Yang

201422: Testing for Neglected Nonlinearity Using Regularized Artificial Neural Networks

Tae Hwy Lee, Zhou Xi and Ru Zhang

201421: Bagging Constrained Equity Premium Predictors

Tae Hwy Lee, Eric Hillebrand and Marcelo Medeiros

201420: What Makes a Commodity Currency?

Dongwon Lee and Yu-chin Chen

201419: The Transitive Core: Inference of Welfare from Nontransitive Preference Relations

Hiroki Nishimura

201418: A Unified Approach to Revealed Preference Theory: The Case of Rational Choice

Hiroki Nishimura, Efe Ok and John Quah

201417: On the Use and Misuse of Child Height-for-Age Z-score in the Demographic and Health Surveys

Joseph Cummins

201416: The Cyclical Behavior of Unemployment and Vacancies with Loss of Skills during Unemployment

Victor Ortego-Marti

201415: Dynamic Nonlinear Income Taxation with Quasi-Hyperbolic Discounting and No Commitment

Jang-Ting Guo and Alan Krause

201414: News about Aggregate Demand and the Business Cycle

Jang-Ting Guo, Anca-Ioana Sirbu and Mark Weder

201413: Exact Distribution of the Mean Reversion Estimator in the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck Process

Aman Ullah, Yong Bao and Yun Wang

201412: A Semiparametric Generalized Ridge Estimator and Link with Model Averaging

Aman Ullah, Alan T.K. Wan, Huansha Wang, Xinyu Zhang and Guohua Zou

201411: Testing for Neglected Nonlinearity Using Artificial Neural Networks with Many Randomized Hidden Unit Activations

Tae Hwy Lee, Zhou Xi and Ru Zhang

201410: Forecasting Realized Volatility Using Subsample Averaging

Tae Hwy Lee and Huiyu Huang

201409: Forecasting Value-at-Risk Using High Frequency Information

Tae Hwy Lee and Huiyu Huang

201408: A Semiparametric Conditional Duration Model

Aman Ullah, Mardi Dungey, Xiangdong Long and Yun Wang

201407: Asymmetric Loss in the Greenbook and the Survey of Professional Forecasters

Tae Hwy Lee and Yiyao Wang

201406: Granger-Causality in Quantiles between Financial Markets: Using Copula Approach

Tae Hwy Lee and Weiping Yang

201405: Forecasting Equity Premium: Global Historical Average versus Local Historical Average and Constraints

Tae Hwy Lee, Yundong Tu and Aman Ullah

201404: Nonparametric and Semiparametric Regressions Subject to Monotonicity Constraints: Estimation and Forecasting

Tae Hwy Lee, Yundong Tu and Aman Ullah

201403: Indeterminacy with Progressive Taxation and Sector-Specific Externalities

Jang-Ting Guo and Sharon Harrison

201402: Unemployment History and Frictional Wage Dispersion

Victor Ortego-Marti

201401: Moment Approximation for Unit Root Models with Nonnormal Errors

Aman Ullah, Yong Bao and Ru Zhang

201306: Sustainable Development - A Path Dependent Analysis to the Rat Hole Coal Mining in Jaintia Hills District, India

Lekha Mukhopadhyay

201305: Sectoral Composition of Government Spending and Macroeconomic (In)stability

Jang-Ting Guo, Juin-jen Chang, Jhy-yuan Shieh and Wei-Neng Wang

201304: Great Expectations: How Credit Markets Twist the Allocation and Distribution of Land

Mason Gaffney

201303: Downtown Curbside Parking Capacity

Richard Arnott, Eren Inci and John Rowse

201302: Progressive Taxation and Macroeconomic (In)stability with Utility-Generating Government Spending

Jang-Ting Guo and Shu-Hua Chen

201301: Europe's Fatal Affair with VAT

Mason Gaffney

201009: On Expectations-Driven Business Cycles in Economies with Production Externalities: A Comment

Jang-Ting Guo, Anca-Ioana Sirbu and Richard M. H. Suen

201008: Optimal Nonlinear Taxation of Income and Education Expenditures

Jang-Ting Guo and Alan Krause

201007: Concave Consumption Function under Borrowing

Richard M. H. Suen

201006: Progressive Taxation and Macroeconomic (In)stability with Productive Government Spending

Jang-Ting Guo and Shu-Hua Chen

201005: Dynamic Income Taxation without Commitment: Comparing Alternative Tax Systems

Jang-Ting Guo and Alan Krause

201004: Time Preference and the Distributions of Wealth and Income

Richard M. H. Suen

201003: The Corridor Problem: Preliminary Results on the No-toll Equilibrium

Richard Arnott and Elijah DePalma

201002: The Impact of the 1936 Corn-Belt Drought on American Farmers’ Adoption of Hybrid Corn

Richard Sutch