Exportação e PIB per capita em Goiás: uma abordagem espacial sobre os municípios goianos

Filipe Petres Dellon da Silva and Edson Roberto Vieira ()
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Filipe Petres Dellon da Silva: IE/Unicamp
Edson Roberto Vieira: FACE/UFG

No 104, Working papers - Textos para Discussao do Curso de Ciencias Economicas da UFG from Curso de Ciencias Economicas da Universidade Federal de Goias - FACE

Abstract: This study analyzes the spatial dependence between per capita Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and exports across the 246 municipalities of the state of Goiás in 2021, based on Exploratory Spatial Data Analysis (ESDA). Using global and local (LISA) univariate and bivariate Moran’s I statistics, the results reveal positive and statistically significant spatial autocorrelation. The findings indicate that municipalities with higher export performance and higher GDP per capita tend to cluster spatially, revealing the persistence of a concentrated and unequal development pattern. In contrast, the Northern and Northeastern regions of the state exhibit low levels of economic integration and reduced average GDP per capita, suggesting weak productive spillover effects. It is concluded that the diffusion of export-related benefits is regionally limited, reinforcing the need for territorial policies focused on infrastructure investment, productive diversification, and the reduction of regional disparities within the state of Goiás.

Keywords: Goiás; Regional development; Exports; Per capita GDP; LISA; Spatial autocorrelation. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C21 O40 R11 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 28 pages
Date: 2026-02
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ufb:wpaper:104

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