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Working Papers

From National Bank of Ukraine
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03/2024: The Warcast Index: Estimating Economic Activity without Official Data during the Ukraine War in 2022 Downloads
Mihnea Constantinescu, Kalle Kappner and Nikodem Szumilo
02/2024: The Role of Financial Literacy in Anchoring Inflation Expectations: The Case of Ukraine Downloads
Andriy Tsapin and Oleksandr Faryna
01/2024: Impact of the Central Bank's Communication on Macrofinancial Outcomes Downloads
Tetiana Yukhymenko and Oleh Sorochan
04/2023: The NBU's Credibility in the Formation of Firms' Inflation Expectations Downloads
Kateryna Savolchuk and Tetiana Yukhymenko
03/2023: Agricultural Commodity Price Dynamics: Evidence from BVAR Models Downloads
Olga Bondarenko
02/2023: Between russian Invasions: The Monetary Policy Transmission Mechanism in Ukraine in 2015-2021 Downloads
Anton Grui, Nicolas Aragon, Oleksandr Faryna, Dmytro Krukovets, Kateryna Savolchuk, Oleksii Sulimenko, Artem Vdovychenko and Oleksandr Zholud
01/2023: Sparse Warcasting Downloads
Mihnea Constantinescu
03/2022: Choosing a Taylor Rule with Limited Data Availability: The Benchmark Approach Downloads
Anton Grui, Jeffrey Liebman, Sergiy Nikolaychuk and Alex Nikolsko-Rzhevskyy
02/2022: Endogenous Monetary Policy Credibility in Ukraine Downloads
Kateryna Savolchuk and Anton Grui
01/2022: Debt Overhang, Risk Shifting and Zombie Lending Downloads
Nicolas Aragon
01/2021: State Dependence of Fiscal Multipliers: The Source of Fluctuations Matters Downloads
Mishel Ghassibe and Francesco Zanetti
04/2019: Optimal Time Consistent Government Debt Maturity, Fiscal Policy, and Default Downloads
Sergii Kiiashko
03/2019: Quarterly Projection Model for Ukraine Downloads
Anton Grui and Artem Vdovychenko
02/2019: Mitigating the Cost of Stricter Macroprudential Policies Downloads
Pervin Dadashova and Magnus Jonsson
01/2019: Disinflation in Closed and Small Open Economies Downloads
Oleksandr Faryna, Magnus Jonsson and Nadiia Shapovalenko
04/2018: The Transmission of International Shocks to CIS Economies: A Global VAR Approach Downloads
Oleksandr Faryna and Heli Simola
03/2018: Branch Network Structure and Lending Behaviour Downloads
Tho Pham, Oleksandr Talavera and Andriy Tsapin
02/2018: The Use of Business Expectations in the Short-Term Forecasting of Economic Activity in Ukraine Downloads
Roman Lysenko and Nataliia Kolesnichenko
01/2018: Shock Contagion, Asset Quality and Lending Behavior Downloads
Tho Pham, Oleksandr Talavera and Andriy Tsapin
01/2017: Secular Stagnation: Policy Options and the Cyclical Sensitivity in Estimates of Potential Output Downloads
Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Mauricio Ulate
01/2016: Nonlinear Exchange Rate Pass-Through to Domestic Prices in Ukraine Downloads
Oleksandr Faryna
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