Working Papers
From National Bank of Ukraine
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- 03/2024: The Warcast Index: Estimating Economic Activity without Official Data during the Ukraine War in 2022

- Mihnea Constantinescu, Kalle Kappner and Nikodem Szumilo
- 02/2024: The Role of Financial Literacy in Anchoring Inflation Expectations: The Case of Ukraine

- Andriy Tsapin and Oleksandr Faryna
- 01/2024: Impact of the Central Bank's Communication on Macrofinancial Outcomes

- Tetiana Yukhymenko and Oleh Sorochan
- 04/2023: The NBU's Credibility in the Formation of Firms' Inflation Expectations

- Kateryna Savolchuk and Tetiana Yukhymenko
- 03/2023: Agricultural Commodity Price Dynamics: Evidence from BVAR Models

- Olga Bondarenko
- 02/2023: Between russian Invasions: The Monetary Policy Transmission Mechanism in Ukraine in 2015-2021

- Anton Grui, Nicolas Aragon, Oleksandr Faryna, Dmytro Krukovets, Kateryna Savolchuk, Oleksii Sulimenko, Artem Vdovychenko and Oleksandr Zholud
- 01/2023: Sparse Warcasting

- Mihnea Constantinescu
- 03/2022: Choosing a Taylor Rule with Limited Data Availability: The Benchmark Approach

- Anton Grui, Jeffrey Liebman, Sergiy Nikolaychuk and Alex Nikolsko-Rzhevskyy
- 02/2022: Endogenous Monetary Policy Credibility in Ukraine

- Kateryna Savolchuk and Anton Grui
- 01/2022: Debt Overhang, Risk Shifting and Zombie Lending

- Nicolas Aragon
- 01/2021: State Dependence of Fiscal Multipliers: The Source of Fluctuations Matters

- Mishel Ghassibe and Francesco Zanetti
- 04/2019: Optimal Time Consistent Government Debt Maturity, Fiscal Policy, and Default

- Sergii Kiiashko
- 03/2019: Quarterly Projection Model for Ukraine

- Anton Grui and Artem Vdovychenko
- 02/2019: Mitigating the Cost of Stricter Macroprudential Policies

- Pervin Dadashova and Magnus Jonsson
- 01/2019: Disinflation in Closed and Small Open Economies

- Oleksandr Faryna, Magnus Jonsson and Nadiia Shapovalenko
- 04/2018: The Transmission of International Shocks to CIS Economies: A Global VAR Approach

- Oleksandr Faryna and Heli Simola
- 03/2018: Branch Network Structure and Lending Behaviour

- Tho Pham, Oleksandr Talavera and Andriy Tsapin
- 02/2018: The Use of Business Expectations in the Short-Term Forecasting of Economic Activity in Ukraine

- Roman Lysenko and Nataliia Kolesnichenko
- 01/2018: Shock Contagion, Asset Quality and Lending Behavior

- Tho Pham, Oleksandr Talavera and Andriy Tsapin
- 01/2017: Secular Stagnation: Policy Options and the Cyclical Sensitivity in Estimates of Potential Output

- Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Mauricio Ulate
- 01/2016: Nonlinear Exchange Rate Pass-Through to Domestic Prices in Ukraine

- Oleksandr Faryna