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Does European high-speed rail affect the current level of air services? An EU-wide analysis

Frédéric Dobruszkes, Catherine Dehon () and Moshe Givoni

ULB Institutional Repository from ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles

Abstract: This paper analyses whether the current provision of air services in Europe is impacted by high-speed rail (HSR). An ex-post analysis is carried out considering 161 routes EU-wide using transnational data. We use censored regressions with special attention paid to the presence of outliers in the sample and to the potential problem of non-normality of error terms. It is found that shorter HSR travel times involve less air services, with similar impact on both airline seats and flights. This impact quickly drops between 2.0- and 2.5-h HSR travel time. The impact of HSR frequencies is much more limited. Hubbing strategies led by the airlines have the opposite effect from HSR, as hubs involve more air services. Airline/ HSR integration at the airport and cities being served by both central and peripheral stations have no significant impact. Metropolitan and national spatial patterns may help to better understand intermodal effects.

Keywords: Air transport; Censored regressions; Europe; High-speed rail; Intermodal competition (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2014
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-com, nep-eur and nep-tre
Note: SCOPUS: ar.j
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Published in: Transportation research. Part A, Policy and practice (2014) v.69,p.461-475

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Working Paper: Does European high-speed rail affect the current level of air services? An EU-wide analysis (2013)
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