Oil price volatility and stock returns in the G7 economies

Elena María Díaz (), Juan Carlos Molero and Fernando Pérez de Gracia ()
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Elena María Díaz: University of Navarra

No 03/16, Faculty Working Papers from School of Economics and Business Administration, University of Navarra

Abstract: This study examines the relationship between oil price volatility and stock returns in the G7 economies (Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, the UK and the US) using monthly data for the period 1970 to 2014. In order to measure oil volatility we consider alternative specifications for oil prices (world, nominal and real prices). We estimate a vector autoregressive model with the following variables: interest rates, economic activity, stock returns and oil price volatility taking into account the structural break in the year 1986. We find a negative response of G7 stock markets to an increase in oil price volatility. Results also indicate that world oil price volatility is generally more significant for stock markets than the national oil price volatility.

Keywords: stock returns; oil price volatility; G7 economies; Vector autoregressive (VAR) model (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C40 G12 Q43 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 24 pages
Date: 2016-11-28
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ino
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (128)

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Journal Article: Oil price volatility and stock returns in the G7 economies (2016)
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