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Causal relations between knowledge-intensive business services and regional employment growth

Brenner T., Marco Capasso (), Matthias Duschl, Koen Frenken () and Tania Treibich ()

No 29, Research Memorandum from Maastricht University, Graduate School of Business and Economics (GSBE)

Abstract: This paper studies the causal relations between regional employment growth in Knowledge-Intensive Business Services KIBS and overall regional employment growth using German labour-market data for the period 1999-2012. Adopting a recently developed technique, we are able to estimate a structural vector autoregressive model in which the causal directions between KIBS and other sectors are examined including various time lags. One main finding holds that although regional growth has a negative short-term effect on KIBS, KIBS growth has a long-term positive effect on the whole regional economy. This result confirms the claim that KIBS can play a key role in regional policies. Distinguishing between financial and non-financial KIBS, we find that financial KIBS have a procyclical effect on regional growth underlining the potential de-stabilizing effect of a large financial sector.

Keywords: Forecasting and Prediction Methods; Simulation Methods; Technological Change: Choices and Consequences; Diffusion Processes; General Regional Economics (includes Regional Data) (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C53 O33 R10 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cse, nep-geo and nep-ino
Date: 2015
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Related works:
Journal Article: Causal relations between knowledge-intensive business services and regional employment growth (2018) Downloads
Working Paper: Causal Relations between Knowledge-Intensive Business Services and Regional Employment Growth (2015) Downloads
Working Paper: Causal Relations between Knowledge-Intensive Business Services and Regional Employment Growth (2015) Downloads
Working Paper: Causal Relations between Knowledge-Intensive Business Services and Regional Employment Growth (2015) Downloads
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