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The Influence of Vulnerability on Migration Intentions in Afghanistan

Loschman C. and Melissa Siegel ()
Authors registered in the RePEc Author Service: Craig Loschmann ()

No 2013-038, MERIT Working Papers from United Nations University - Maastricht Economic and Social Research Institute on Innovation and Technology (MERIT)

Abstract: This study explores the influence of vulnerability on migration intentions within the context of Afghanistan. While it is commonplace to conceptualize migration as being driven by certain economic-related factors, it is reasonable to assume that in an insecure setting like Afghanistan the difference between voluntary and involuntary movement is not easily distinguishable, making it necessary to approach the subject through a spectrum which does not presupposemigration is strictly economic in nature. With this in mind, we consider the issue through the broader lens of household vulnerability, a measure which incorporates a range of socio-economic factors allowing for a more comprehensive analysis. We first construct a profile of household vulnerability through individual indicators of deprivation along four principle dimensions, and then perform a regression analysis estimating the influence on migration intentions. Our results provide clear evidence that vulnerable households have a lower likelihood of concrete plans to migrate. This result supports the suggestion that it is not the poorest of the poor, or in our case the most vulnerable of the vulnerable who aspire to move, indicating households have a realistic understanding of their capabilities taking into consideration the inherent costs and risks associated with cross-border movement.

Keywords: Measurement and Analysis of Poverty; Economic Development; Human Resources; Human Development; Income Distribution; Migration (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: I32 O15 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2013
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-dem and nep-mig
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (6) Track citations by RSS feed

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