Growing at the production frontier. European aggregate growth, 1870-1914

Albert Carreras and Camilla Josephson

Economics Working Papers from Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra

Abstract: The view of a 1870-1913 expanding European economy providing increasing welfare to everybody has been challenged by many, then and now. We focus on the amazing growth that was experienced, its diffusion and its sources, in the context of the permanent competition among European nation states. During 1870-193 the globalized European economy reached a “silver age”. GDP growth was quite rapid (2.15% per annum) and diffused all over Europe. Even discounting the high rates of population growth (1.06%), per capita growth was left at a respectable 1.08%. Income per capita was rising in every country, and the rates of improvement were quite similar. This was a major achievement after two generations of highly localized growth, both geographically and socially. Growth was based on the increased use of labour and capital, but a good part of growth (73 per cent for the weighted average of the best documented European countries) came out of total factor productivity –efficiency gains resulting from not well specified ultimate sources of growth. This proportion suggests that the European economy was growing at full capacity –at its production frontier. It would have been very difficult to improve its performance. Within Europe, convergence was limited, and it only was in motion after 1900. What happened was more the end of the era of big divergence rather than an era of convergence.

Keywords: Economic history; aggregate growth; total factor productivity; comparative national patterns; Europe (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E01 N10 N13 O47 O52 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2009-10
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-eff, nep-fdg and nep-his
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2)

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