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Fixed-term contracts and the duration distribution of unemployment

Maia Güell ()

Economics Working Papers from Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra

Abstract: In the mid-1980s, many European countries introduced fixed-term contracts. Since then their labor markets have become more dynamic. This paper studies the implications of such reforms for the duration distribution of unemployment, with particular emphasis on the changes in the duration dependence. I estimate a parametric duration model using cross-sectional data drawn from the Spanish Labor Force Survey from 1980 to 1994 to analyze the chances of leaving unemployment before and after the introduction of fixed-term contracts. I find that duration dependence has increased since such reform. Semi-parametric estimation of the model also shows that for long spells, the probability of leaving unemployment has decreased since such reform.

Keywords: Cross-sectional data; duration model; turnover (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C41 J63 J64 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2002-02, Revised 2003-05
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Related works:
Working Paper: Fixed-term Contracts and the Duration Distribution of Unemployment (2003) Downloads
Working Paper: Fixed-Term Contracts and the Duration Distribution of Unemployment (2003) Downloads
Working Paper: Fixed-Term Contracts and the Duration Distribution of Unemployment (2002) Downloads
Working Paper: Fixed-Term Contracts and the Duration Distribution of Unemployment (2001) Downloads
Working Paper: Fixed-term contracts and the duration distribution of unemployment (2001) Downloads
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