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Financial Exclusion and Inflation Costs

Diogo Baerlocher

No 2023-01, Working Papers from University of South Florida, Department of Economics

Abstract: This paper constructs two models of financial exclusion to assess the welfare costs of inflation. In the first, inflation costs are measured within a classical endowment economy. The second includes a production sector and costly credit. Both models are calibrated to account for inflation costs in a high-inflation economy (developing country) and in a low-inflation economy (developed economy). In an endowment economy, when inflation is reduced from 1.5% to zero in a developed economy, the welfare costs for agents with (without) financial access are 0.36% (1.1%) consumption equivalent variation (CEV). In a model with costly credit, the welfare costs for agents with (without) financial access are 0.7% (1.36%) CEV. For developing countries, when inflation is reduced from 6.2% to zero, the welfare costs for agents with (without) financial access are 1.3% (5%) in an endowment economy. In the costly-credit model, the welfare costs for agents with (without) financial access are 0.44% (6%) CEV. The main finding is that there is a substantial asymmetry in welfare costs between individuals with and without access to financial services, especially in developing countries.

Keywords: Financial Exclusion; Inflation Costs; Costly Credit (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D53 E31 E51 G23 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2023-09
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ban, nep-dge, nep-fdg, nep-fle, nep-ger and nep-mon
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