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A simple and general approach to fitting the discount curve under no-arbitrage constraints

Matthias Fengler and Lin-Yee Hin ()

No 1423, Economics Working Paper Series from University of St. Gallen, School of Economics and Political Science

Abstract: We suggest a simple and general approach to fitting the discount curve under no-arbitrage constraints based on a penalized shape-constrained B-spline. Our approach accommodates B-splines of any order and fitting both under the L1 and the L2 loss functions. Simulations and an empirical analysis of US STRIPS data from 2001-2009 suggest that an active knot search and splines of order three and four are mandatory to obtain reasonable fits. The loss function appears to be less relevant.

Keywords: Employment; B-splines; Discount curve; No-arbitrage constraints; Monotone estimation; Yield curve (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C44 C58 C61 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 28 pages
Date: 2014-08
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Related works:
Journal Article: A simple and general approach to fitting the discount curve under no-arbitrage constraints (2015) Downloads
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