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Capital Account Liberalization and Dynamic Price Discovery: Evidence from Chinese Cross-Listed Stocks

Marc Chan and Simon Sai Man Kwok

No 24, Working Paper Series from Economics Discipline Group, UTS Business School, University of Technology, Sydney

Abstract: We analyze the effects of a recent financial reform that enables cross-market investment between Hong Kong and Shanghai stock exchanges. Using a vector error-correction model, we nd that the reform announcement considerably narrows the equilibrium level of price disparity and strengthens the price comovement of shares that are cross-listed in both markets. First, there is a substantial increase in the number of cross-listed firms with cointegrated share prices, and the estimated equilibrium relationship is in support of the relative law of one price. Second, our model predicts that the price disparity narrows by as much as 40 percent in equilibrium. Third, we nd that both markets adjust in response to a disequilibrium in price disparity, leading to a sizable error-correction activity. The Shanghai market contributes to approximately two-thirds of the price discovery process. Competition and informativeness of trading affect the relative role of price discovery in each market.

Keywords: Capital account liberalization; co-integration; vector error-correction model; cross-listing; Chinese A-H shares (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F36 G18 C32 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 31 pages
Date: 2014-08-01
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cfn, nep-ger and nep-tra
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Related works:
Journal Article: Capital account liberalization and dynamic price discovery: evidence from Chinese cross-listed stocks (2016) Downloads
Working Paper: Capital Account Liberalization and Dynamic Price Discovery: Evidence from Chinese Cross-Listed Stocks (2014) Downloads
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