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Intraday Empirical Analysis and Modeling of Diversified World Stock Indices

Wolfgang Breymann, Leah Kelly and Eckhard Platen ()

No 125, Research Paper Series from Quantitative Finance Research Centre, University of Technology, Sydney

Abstract: This paper proposes an approach to the intraday analysis of diversified world stock accumulation indices. The growth optimal portfolio (GOP) is used as reference unit or benchmark in a continuous financial market model. Diversified portfolios, covering the world stock market, are constructed and shown to approximate the GOP, providing the basis for a range of financial applications. The normalized GOP is modeled as a time transformed square root process of dimension four. Its dynamics are empirically verified for several world stock indices. Furthermore, the evolution of the transformed time is modeled as the integral over a rapidly evolving mean-reverting market activity process with deterministic volatility. The empirical findings suggest a rather simple and robust model for a world stock index that reflects the historical evolution, by using only a few readily observable parameters.

Keywords: world stock index; intraday analysis; growth optimal portfolio; diversified portfolio; market activity; deseasonalization; square root process (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: G10 G13 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 24 pages
Date: 2004-05-01
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-fin and nep-fmk
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (10)

Published as: Breymann, W., Kelly, L. and Platen, E., 2005, "Intraday Empirical Analysis and Modeling of Diversified World Stock Indices", Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, 12(1), 1-28.

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