Asymmetry in the Business Cycle: Evidence from the Australian Labour Markets
Maurice Peat and
Max Stevenson
Additional contact information
Maurice Peat: Discipline of Finance, University of Sydney
Max Stevenson: Discipline of Finance, University of Sydney
No 37, Working Paper Series from Finance Discipline Group, UTS Business School, University of Technology, Sydney
Abstract:
Cyclical asymmetry has been recognised as a nonlinear phenomenonin recent studies examining unemployment rate time series. In this paper we use a number of established and new tests for identifying nonlinearities of the bilinear (BL), exponential autoregressive (EXPAR), smooth transition autoregressive (STAR), and self-exciting threshold autoregressive (SETAR) types as they occur in time series of the seasonally differenced logarithm of monthly Australian aggregate and regional unemployment rates. After identifying nonlinearity of a particular form within a given time series, the appropriate model is fitted and representations from the model analysed for their cyclical behaviour.
Keywords: asymmetry; unemployment; dynamic; nonlinear dependence (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 44 pages
Date: 1994-06-01
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Citations:
Published as: Peat, M. and Stevenson, M. 1996, "Asymmetry in the Business Cycle: Evidence from the Australian Labour Market", Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, 30(3), pp. 353-368.
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Journal Article: Asymmetry in the business cycle: Evidence from the Australian labour market (1996) 
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