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The ARAR Error Model for Univariate Time Series and Distributed Lag Models

Richard (Robin) Carter and Arnold Zellner

No 20025, University of Western Ontario, Departmental Research Report Series from University of Western Ontario, Department of Economics

Abstract: We show that the use of prior information derived from former empirical findings and/or subject matter theory regarding the lag structure of the observable variables together with an AR process for the error terms can produce univariate and single equation models that are intuitively appealing, simple to implement, and work well in practice.

Date: 2002
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ecm and nep-ets
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