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The Twilight of �Chimerica�? China and the collapse of the American model

Guilhem Fabre ()
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Guilhem Fabre: Department of Economics, University Of Venice C� Foscari

No 2009_06, Working Papers from Department of Economics, University of Venice "Ca' Foscari"

Abstract: �Chimerica� illustrates the interactions between a Chinese model of high savings, overinvestment and export-led growth and the American model of leverage investment, credit consumption and finance-led growth. The collapse of the U.S model, linked with the unregulated derivatives market, drives China to redirect its growth toward domestic consumption, despite the strengthening of regionalisation in East Asia. The new stimulus plan, based on investment, is limited by both income disparities and the under-development of social protection. Land reform, or the collective redistribution of the remaining state assets, could stimulate domestic consumption. But the first solution deprives the local state of financial resources, and the second solution collides with the interests of the state-party system. However, stronger social movements could lead to a better income distribution. Like two faces of the same coin, credit consumption or high savings rate reflect the crisis of a global accumulation regime, tailored for a financial oligarchy in the U.S, or for a party-state oligarchy in China.

Keywords: World Financial crisis; World Economic crisis; China; Usa (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F02 F43 F59 R58 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 21
Date: 2009
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-tra
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