A new Combined Bootstrap Method for Long-Memory Time Series

Luisa Bisaglia, Margherita Gerolimetto and Margherita Palomba ()
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Luisa Bisaglia: University of Padua
Margherita Gerolimetto: Ca’ Foscari University of Venice
Margherita Palomba: University of Padua

No 2025: 19, Working Papers from Department of Economics, University of Venice "Ca' Foscari"

Abstract: This paper introduces a novel combined bootstrap methodology for the analysis of stationary long-memory time series, addressing the challenges posed by their persistent dependence structures. Unlike existing hybrid approaches that merge algorithms at the procedural level, our method combines independently generated bootstrap samples from a variety of established techniques, including parametric, semi-parametric, and block-based methods, into a unified composite sample. This integration is performed using both simple (mean, median, trimmed mean) and performance-based (correlation, MSE, MAE, regression-based) combination schemes. Through extensive Monte Carlo simulations and empirical applications to the Nile River minima and Microsoft stock returns, we show that the combined bootstrap approach yields improved estimation accuracy for the long-memory parameter d, particularly in terms of root mean squared deviation and confidence interval coverage. The proposed method is shown to mitigate model misspecification risk and improve inference robustness. While our focus is on estimating the long-memory parameter, the approach is general and can be extended to other statistics and dependence structures. This work offers a new perspective on bootstrap methodology and opens avenues for future theoretical and practical advancements.

Keywords: Bootstrap; Long-memory time series; Pre-filtering; Combinations (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C13 C15 C22 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 28 pages
Date: 2025
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