Measuring The Hidden Economy: Implications for Econometric Modelling

David Giles

No 9809, Econometrics Working Papers from Department of Economics, University of Victoria

Abstract: In this paper I support using econometric techniques to measure the size of the hidden (underground) economy, because such information is important for the construction of certain economic models, and for empirical policy analysis. Generally, detailed information on the output of the hidden economy is unavailable. Even where careful measures of the underground economy have been constructed, usually these data are available only periodically. Important exceptions are the classic results of Tanzi (1983) for the United States, and Bhattacharyya's (1990) series for the United Kingdom. In the case of the New Zealand economy, a time-series of data on the hidden economy has been generated recently (Giles, 1997a). This provides the unusual opportunity to undertake econometric modelling in a way which takes account of such activity formally. Moreover, we can examine the policy implications arising from the linkages between hidden output and various measured economic aggregates.

Keywords: Hidden Economy; Underground Economy; Demand for Money (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C5 H1 H2 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 16 pages
Date: 1998-09-22
Note: ISSN 1485-6441
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (18)

Forthcoming in "Economic Journal", June 1999.

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Journal Article: Measuring the Hidden Economy: Implications for Econometric Modelling (1999)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:vic:vicewp:9809

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