Food Security, Fertility Differentials and Land Degradation in Sub-Saharan Africa: A Dynamic Framework
Maria Winkler-Dworak
No 301, VID Working Papers from Vienna Institute of Demography (VID) of the Austrian Academy of Sciences in Vienna
Abstract:
We study the impact of differential fertility levels for the food-insecure and foodsecure population on the long-run values of the population distribution and resources in a descriptive model, where the food security states are determined by a historically given food distribution and by the endogenous food production with resources and labor as inputs. Furthermore, we assume that the resource stock is reduced by povertydriven environmental degradation. Moreover, we incorporate nutritional effects on labor productivity and mortality. By applying local bifurcation theory, we show that the model may exhibit multiple equilibria. Furthermore, the orbits of resources and the population distribution may be characterized by quasi-periodic behavior. Sustainable development in terms of approaching a steady state with positive values of resources and food-secure population is only promoted by low fertility levels of the food-insecure and food-secure population.
Keywords: Food Distribution; Fertility; Land Degradation; Dynamic Systems; Multiple Equilibria; Local Bifurcation (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 22 pages
Date: 2003-06
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (5)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:vid:wpaper:0301
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