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The Role of Risk Aversion and Uncertainty in Individual's Migration Decision

Tan Wang and Tony Wirjanto ()

No 98003, Working Papers from University of Waterloo, Department of Economics

Abstract: Building on recent advances in the theory of the optimal timing of investment under uncertainty, this paper proposes a stylized theoretical model to study an individual's optimal migration strategy. It shows that, as a result of following the optimal strategy, the individual may choose to delay the migration when the condition appears to be favorable, giving rise to so-called waiting phenomenon observed in the data for Germany following the unification. Using the closed-form solution obtained, it also examines how the duration of the waiting phenomenon is affected by a number of economic factors such as uncertainty with respect to income in Western Germany, the individual's attitude toward risk, etc.

Date: 1997-11, Revised 1997-11
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:wat:wpaper:98003

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