Leaning Against the Wind

Federico R. Bennett, Carlos Vegh, Daniel Lederman and Federico Bennett

No 26364, World Bank Publications - Reports from The World Bank Group

Abstract: This report by the Office of the Chief Economist for Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC) of the World Bank studies the region’s fiscal policies. After reviewing LAC’s growth performance, Chapter 1 provides an accounting of its financing needs during the 21st Century to understand how such a diverse region ended up with fiscal deficits across the board in 2016. Chapter 2 goes back to the 1960s and assesses the cyclical properties of fiscal policies. LAC, like most developing countries and in contrast with most developed economies, exhibited procyclical fiscal policies. Good news arrived in the 2000s: one in three economies became countercyclical, which helped improve credit ratings. Yet fiscal policy is complicated by our inability to know if current economic conditions are temporary or permanent. The report argues for a prudent stance that would err on the side of saving too much during upswings and perhaps borrowing too little during downturns.

Keywords: Finance; and; Financial; Sector; Development-Currencies; and; Exchange; Rates; Finance; and; Financial; Sector; Development-Financial; Crisis; Management; &; Restructuring; Macroeconomics; and; Economic; Growth-Business; Cycles; and; Stabilization; Policies; Macroeconomics; and; Economic; Growth-Economic; Conditions; and; Volatility; Macroeconomics; and; Economic; Growth-Fiscal; &; Monetary; Policy (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2017-04
Note: ISBN 978-1-4648-1094-7
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (8)

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