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The Impact of Infrastructure on Development Outcomes: A Meta-Analysis

Vivien Foster, Nisan Gorgulu, Dhruv Jain, Stephane Straub and Maria Vagliasindi

No 10350, Policy Research Working Paper Series from The World Bank

Abstract: This paper presents a meta-analysis of the infrastructure research done over more than three decades, using a database of over a thousand estimates from 221 papers reporting outcome elasticities. The analysis casts a wide net to include the transport, energy, and digital or information and communication technology (ICT) sectors, and the whole set of outcomes covered in the literature, including output, employment and wages, inequality and poverty, trade, education and health, population, and environmental aspects. The results allow for an update of the underlying parameters of interest, the “true” underlying infrastructure elasticities, accounting for publication bias, as well as for heterogeneity stemming from both study design and context, with a particular focus on developing countries.

Date: 2023-03-09
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