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Impact of Heat Waves on Learning Outcomes and the Role of Conditional Cash Transfers: Evidence from Peru

Juan Jose Miranda Montero and Cesar Contreras

No 11171, Policy Research Working Paper Series from The World Bank

Abstract: This paper evaluates the impact of higher temperatures on learning outcomes in Peru. The results suggest that 1 degree above 20°C is equivalent to 7 and 6 percent of a standard deviation of what a student learns in a year for math and reading tests, respectively. These results hold true when the main specification is changed, splitting the sample, collapsing the data at school level, and using other climate specifications. The paper aims to improve understanding of how to deal with the impacts of climate change on learning outcomes in developing countries. The evidence suggests that conditional cash transfer programs can mitigate the negative effects of higher temperatures on students’ learning outcomes in math and reading.

Date: 2025-07-14
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